As far as season-openers go, tonight’s Baltimore-Denver pop-topper is hard to beat. The defending champs. Last year’s epic playoff game. Joe Flacco and his golden fleece of a contract. Peyton Manning and his quest to win it all one last time. Elvis Dumervil on the other sideline. Exit Anquan Boldin, Ray Lewis, Ed Reed, Dennis Pitta, and Von Miller. Enter Wes Welker and Montee Ball.
Most fantasy owners holding Broncos and Ravens other than Manning and his receivers (Thomas, Decker, Welker) are feeling some trepidation tonight. Should I start Torrey Smith? What about Ball? Will Ray Rice get lost in a pass-happy evening? Is BAL kicker Justin Tucker going to post a solid number? In the words of Jim Carrey as the Riddler, too many questions….
Fellow owners: Is there anything about tonight’s opener that feels like a low-scoring game? The bookies aren’t buying it. The over-under tonight is between 48.5 to 49.0, which is a notably higher O/U than the NFL average. HOWEVER, in season-openers since 2007, the UNDER has prevailed all but one time, suggesting that both clubs will lock into a scrum.
I’m not buying it. There’s too much octane on each sideline. I’m taking the OVER, and I’m for playing any studs you own on either team. The only selection that gives me even a moment of pause is the Ravens’ D – on the road, without last year’s pulses, etc. If you’ve got a better defense, start that in Week 1. Otherwise, as Bob Knight once infamously said, sit back and enjoy it!