The Minnesota Timberwolves are 8.5-point underdogs in a decisive Game 5 of the Western Conference Finals against the Oklahoma City Thunder at Paycom Center on Wednesday, starting at 8:30 p.m. ET on ESPN. The Thunder are up 3-1 in the series.
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Thunder vs. Timberwolves Predictions for Wednesday
Our computer projections model for this matchup expects a final score of Thunder 118, Timberwolves 107.
- Moneyline Pick: Thunder (-356)
- Total Pick: Over 220.5 (computer predicts 224.7 points)
- Pick ATS: Thunder (-8.5)
Recent Thunder vs. Timberwolves Matchups
| Date | Favorite | Spread | Total | Favorite Moneyline | Underdog Moneyline | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5/26/2025 | Thunder | -3 | 219.5 | -155 | +129 | 128-126 OKC |
| 5/24/2025 | Thunder | -3 | 217.5 | -152 | +128 | 143-101 MIN |
| 5/22/2025 | Thunder | -8 | 217 | -329 | +262 | 118-103 OKC |
| 5/20/2025 | Thunder | -7 | 219 | -286 | +230 | 114-88 OKC |
| 2/24/2025 | Thunder | -11.5 | 228 | -610 | +448 | 131-128 MIN |
| 2/23/2025 | Thunder | -9 | 228 | -385 | +302 | 130-123 OKC |
| 2/13/2025 | Thunder | -9.5 | 226.5 | -455 | +351 | 116-101 MIN |
| 12/31/2024 | Thunder | -7 | 216.5 | -269 | +218 | 113-105 OKC |
| 1/29/2024 | Thunder | -2.5 | 224.5 | -139 | +118 | 107-101 MIN |
| 1/20/2024 | Timberwolves | -3 | 229 | -148 | +125 | 102-97 OKC |
| 12/26/2023 | Thunder | -2.5 | 228.5 | -135 | +115 | 129-106 OKC |
| 11/28/2023 | Timberwolves | -3 | 228.5 | -156 | +132 | 106-103 MIN |
Thunder 2024-25 Betting Trends
- Oklahoma City's ATS record is 54-26-2 this season.
- When they have played as at least 8.5-point favorites this season, the Thunder are 29-16-1 against the spread.
- A total of 46 of Oklahoma City's 82 games with a set total have hit the over (56.1%).
- This season, the Thunder have won 66 out of the 79 games, or 83.5%, in which they've been favored.
- Oklahoma City has a record of 38-7, a 84.4% win rate, when it's favored by -356 or more by oddsmakers this season.
Timberwolves 2024-25 Betting Trends
- Minnesota has a 39-43-0 record against the spread this season.
- When they have played as at least 8.5-point underdogs this year, the Timberwolves are 4-0 against the spread.
- Minnesota's games have gone over the point total 44 out of 82 times (53.7%).
- The Timberwolves have won 47.4% of the games this season they were the moneyline underdog (9-10).
- In games it has played as a moneyline underdog with odds of +279 or longer, Minnesota has gone 2-2 (50%).
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Thunder vs. Timberwolves Injury Report
Thunder
Thunder:
Nikola Topic: Out For Season (Acl)
Timberwolves
Timberwolves: None
Thunder vs. Timberwolves Game Time and TV Channel
- Game day: Wednesday, May 28, 2025
- Game time: 8:30 p.m. ET
- TV channel: ESPN
- Location: Oklahoma City, Oklahoma
- Arena: Paycom Center
- Live stream: Watch this game on Fubo (Regional restrictions may apply)
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