Our computer model predicts the Buffalo Bills will take down the Kansas City Chiefs on Sunday, Jan. 26 at 6:30 p.m. ET. For a complete projection on the game at GEHA Field at Arrowhead Stadium, which includes our prediction on the spread, over/under, and final score, keep scrolling.

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Chiefs vs. Bills Game Info and TV Channel

When: Sunday, January 26, 2025 at 6:30 p.m. ET
Where: GEHA Field at Arrowhead Stadium in Kansas City, Missouri
TV: CBS
Live Stream: Watch this game on Fubo (Regional restrictions may apply)
Live Stream: Watch this game on Paramount+ (Regional restrictions may apply)

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Chiefs vs. Bills Odds and Betting Info

Spread favorite: Chiefs (-2)
Moneyline: Chiefs (-130), Bills (+107)
Total: 48.5 points

Chiefs vs. Bills Prediction

Pick ATS: Bills (+2)
Pick OU: Under (48.5)

Prediction:

Bills 24 - Chiefs 23

Prediction derived from a team strength comparison algorithm. Multiple factors such as strength of wins and scoring margin are used to make this projection.

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Chiefs vs. Bills Betting Insights

The Chiefs covered seven times in 17 matchups with a spread in the regular season, and in the playoffs they are 0-1-0 ATS.
The Bills went 10-7-0 ATS in the regular season. Meanwhile, the team has a 2-0-0 against the spread in the playoffs.
When playing as at least 2-point favorites this season (regular season and playoffs), the Chiefs have an ATS record of 6-7-1.
Buffalo has covered the spread twice as an underdog by 2 points or more in the regular season and playoffs (in three opportunities).
The Chiefs and their opponents combined to go over the point total seven out of 17 times in the regular season, and zero of one in the playoffs.
Bills games went over the point total 12 out of 17 times in the regular season, and zero of two playoff games have hit the over.

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Miller and Condon