Photo: William Purnell / Getty Images Sport / Getty Images
The Oklahoma City Thunder (52-15) will look to Shai Gilgeous-Alexander (second in the league scoring 31.8 points per game) when they attempt to hold off Anthony Edwards (third in the NBA with 29.7 PPG) and the Minnesota Timberwolves (41-26) on Sunday, March 15, 2026 at Paycom Center. The Thunder are 8.5-point home favorites in the game, which tips at 1 p.m. ET on ABC.
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Thunder vs. Timberwolves Predictions for Sunday
Our computer projections model for this game calls for a final tally of Thunder 120, Timberwolves 110.
- Moneyline Pick: Thunder (-402)
- Total Pick: Over 226.5 (computer predicts 230.1 points)
- Pick ATS: Thunder (-8.5)
Recent Thunder vs. Timberwolves Matchups
| Date | Favorite | Spread | Total | Favorite Moneyline | Underdog Moneyline | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1/29/2026 | Thunder | -5.5 | 227.5 | -205 | +171 | 123-111 MIN |
| 12/19/2025 | Thunder | -6.5 | 232.5 | -265 | +214 | 112-107 MIN |
| 11/26/2025 | Thunder | -10.5 | 227 | -467 | +357 | 113-105 OKC |
| 5/28/2025 | Thunder | -8.5 | 221.5 | -380 | +298 | 124-94 OKC |
| 5/26/2025 | Thunder | -3 | 219.5 | -155 | +129 | 128-126 OKC |
| 5/24/2025 | Thunder | -3 | 217.5 | -152 | +128 | 143-101 MIN |
| 5/22/2025 | Thunder | -8 | 217 | -329 | +262 | 118-103 OKC |
| 5/20/2025 | Thunder | -7 | 219 | -286 | +230 | 114-88 OKC |
| 2/24/2025 | Thunder | -11.5 | 228 | -610 | +448 | 131-128 MIN |
| 2/23/2025 | Thunder | -9 | 228 | -385 | +302 | 130-123 OKC |
| 2/13/2025 | Thunder | -9.5 | 226.5 | -455 | +351 | 116-101 MIN |
| 12/31/2024 | Thunder | -7 | 216.5 | -269 | +218 | 113-105 OKC |
Thunder 2025-26 Betting Trends
- Oklahoma City has a 31-36-0 record against the spread this season.
- In games they have played as at least 8.5-point favorites this season, the Thunder are 22-24 against the spread.
- In Oklahoma City's 67 games with a set total, 36 have hit the over (53.7%).
- The Thunder have been favorites in 63 games this season and won 50 (79.4%) of those contests.
- This season, Oklahoma City has won 30 of its 36 games, or 83.3%, when favored by at least -402 on the moneyline.
Timberwolves 2025-26 Betting Trends
- Minnesota is 29-38-0 against the spread this season.
- The Timberwolves are a perfect 1-0 against the spread when an underdog by 8.5 points or more this year.
- A total of 32 of Minnesota's 67 games with a set total have hit the over (47.8%).
- The Timberwolves have won 35.7% of the games this season they were the moneyline underdog (5-9).
- Minnesota has played as a moneyline underdog of +314 or longer in only one game this season, which it lost.
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Thunder vs. Timberwolves Injury Report
Thunder
Thunder:
Thomas Sorber: Out For Season (Knee),
Branden Carlson: Out (Back),
Jalen Williams: Out (Hamstring),
Isaiah Hartenstein: Questionable (Calf)
Timberwolves
Timberwolves:
Anthony Edwards: Questionable (Knee)
Thunder vs. Timberwolves Game Time and TV Channel
- Game day: Sunday, March 15, 2026
- Game time: 1 p.m. ET
- TV channel: ABC
- Location: Oklahoma City, Oklahoma
- Arena: Paycom Center
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