Photo: Ronald Cortes / Getty Images Sport / Getty Images
The San Antonio Spurs are heavy 11.5-point favorites for Game 1 of the second round of the NBA Playoffs against the Minnesota Timberwolves at Frost Bank Center on Monday, tipping off at 9:30 p.m. ET on Peacock.
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Timberwolves vs. Spurs Predictions for Monday
Our computer projections model for this encounter calls for a final tally of Spurs 121, Timberwolves 110.
- Moneyline Pick: Spurs (-498)
- Total Pick: Over 218.5 (computer predicts 231.0 points)
- Pick ATS: Timberwolves (+11.5)
Recent Timberwolves vs. Spurs Matchups
| Date | Favorite | Spread | Total | Favorite Moneyline | Underdog Moneyline | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1/17/2026 | Spurs | -4.5 | 232.5 | -175 | +145 | 126-123 SA |
| 1/11/2026 | Timberwolves | -2.5 | 233.5 | -140 | +118 | 104-103 MIN |
| 11/30/2025 | Timberwolves | -4.5 | 233.5 | -189 | +157 | 125-112 MIN |
| 3/9/2025 | Timberwolves | -10.5 | 234 | -535 | +397 | 141-124 MIN |
| 12/29/2024 | Timberwolves | -6.5 | 217 | -231 | +188 | 112-110 MIN |
| 12/15/2024 | Timberwolves | -4.5 | 214.5 | -190 | +159 | 106-92 MIN |
| 11/2/2024 | Timberwolves | -3.5 | 214.5 | -171 | +142 | 113-103 SA |
Spurs 2025-26 Betting Trends
- San Antonio has gone 45-35-2 ATS this season.
- The Spurs have an 8-8 record against the spread when favored by 11.5 points or more this season.
- A total of 35 of San Antonio's 82 games with a set total have hit the over (42.7%).
- This season, the Spurs have been favored 63 times and won 49, or 77.8%, of those games.
- This season, San Antonio has won 16 of its 18 games, or 88.9%, when favored by at least -498 on the moneyline.
Timberwolves 2025-26 Betting Trends
- Minnesota has a 38-44-0 record against the spread this year.
- Of Minnesota's 82 games with a set total, 38 have hit the over (46.3%).
- The Timberwolves are 8-15 in games they were listed as the moneyline underdog (winning 34.8% of those games).
- Minnesota has played as a moneyline underdog of +376 or longer in just one game this season, which it lost.
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Timberwolves vs. Spurs Injury Report
Spurs
Spurs:
David Jones: Out For Season (Ankle),
Carter Bryant: Questionable (Foot)
Timberwolves
Timberwolves:
Donte DiVincenzo: Out For Season (Leg),
Anthony Edwards: Questionable (Knee),
Ayo Dosunmu: Questionable (Calf)
Timberwolves vs. Spurs Game Time and TV Channel
- Game day: Monday, May 4, 2026
- Game time: 9:30 p.m. ET
- TV channel: Peacock
- Location: San Antonio, Texas
- Arena: Frost Bank Center
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