Photo: Ronald Cortes / Getty Images Sport / Getty Images
The Minnesota Timberwolves are heavy 10-point underdogs in Game 5 of the second round of the NBA Playoffs against the San Antonio Spurs at Frost Bank Center on Tuesday, tipping off at 8 p.m. ET on NBC/Peacock. The series is tied 2-2.
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Timberwolves vs. Spurs Predictions for Tuesday
Our computer model for this game predicts a final result of Spurs 121, Timberwolves 110.
- Moneyline Pick: Spurs (-392)
- Total Pick: Over 218.5 (computer predicts 230.6 points)
- Pick ATS: Spurs (-10)
Recent Timberwolves vs. Spurs Matchups
| Date | Favorite | Spread | Total | Favorite Moneyline | Underdog Moneyline | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5/10/2026 | Spurs | -5.5 | 218.5 | -196 | +164 | 114-109 MIN |
| 5/8/2026 | Spurs | -5.5 | 216.5 | -218 | +180 | 115-108 SA |
| 5/6/2026 | Spurs | -10 | 217.5 | -424 | +325 | 133-95 SA |
| 5/4/2026 | Spurs | -9.5 | 218.5 | -400 | +315 | 104-102 MIN |
| 1/17/2026 | Spurs | -4.5 | 232.5 | -175 | +145 | 126-123 SA |
| 1/11/2026 | Timberwolves | -2.5 | 233.5 | -140 | +118 | 104-103 MIN |
| 11/30/2025 | Timberwolves | -4.5 | 233.5 | -189 | +157 | 125-112 MIN |
| 3/9/2025 | Timberwolves | -10.5 | 234 | -535 | +397 | 141-124 MIN |
| 12/29/2024 | Timberwolves | -6.5 | 217 | -231 | +188 | 112-110 MIN |
| 12/15/2024 | Timberwolves | -4.5 | 214.5 | -190 | +159 | 106-92 MIN |
| 11/2/2024 | Timberwolves | -3.5 | 214.5 | -171 | +142 | 113-103 SA |
Spurs 2025-26 Betting Trends
- So far this season, San Antonio has put together a 45-35-2 record against the spread.
- When they have played as at least 10-point favorites this season, the Spurs are 9-9-1 against the spread.
- Out of San Antonio's 82 games with a set total, 35 have hit the over (42.7%).
- The Spurs have entered the game as favorites 63 times this season and won 49, or 77.8%, of those games.
- This season, San Antonio has won 19 of its 22 games, or 86.4%, when favored by at least -392 on the moneyline.
Timberwolves 2025-26 Betting Trends
- Minnesota has gone 38-44-0 ATS this year.
- The Timberwolves are 2-1 against the spread when an underdog by 10 points or more this season.
- The teams have combined to hit the over in 38 of Minnesota's 82 games with a set total.
- The Timberwolves have an 8-15 record in games they were the underdog on the moneyline (winning 34.8% of those games).
- When playing as a moneyline underdog with odds of +309 or longer, Minnesota has a record of 2-2 (50%).
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Timberwolves vs. Spurs Injury Report
Spurs
Spurs:
David Jones: Out For Season (Ankle),
De'Aaron Fox: Questionable (Ankle)
Timberwolves
Timberwolves:
Donte DiVincenzo: Out For Season (Leg)
Timberwolves vs. Spurs Game Time and TV Channel
- Game day: Tuesday, May 12, 2026
- Game time: 8 p.m. ET
- TV channel: NBC/Peacock
- Location: San Antonio, Texas
- Arena: Frost Bank Center
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